# 8.5.6 Measles 772

# 8.5.6 Measles 772

772
section 8  Infectious diseases
In the normal infant, maternal IgG passes to the fetus and seems 
to protect the infant against mumps during the first year of life. The 
typical disease of mumps in infants is a rare clinical finding, even in 
populations with no previous experience of the disease. MuV may 
be isolated in vague respiratory infections in infants.
Laboratory diagnosis
In patients without parotitis, especially meningitis, and in the absence 
of contact history, serological tests and RT-​PCR are the only means of 
reaching a firm diagnosis. MuV isolation is an insensitive method and 
now rarely used. MuV contains several different antigenic compo-
nents, which provoke distinct antibodies that are useful for laboratory 
confirmation. Antibody to the N protein rises in the first 2 weeks of in-
fection but then declines rapidly. Antibody to the HN protein appears 
at the end of the first week, usually in high titre: it may persist for years 
and indicates past infection. Neutralizing antibodies also develop, but 
titres are a poor correlate of protection. Nowadays, sensitive enzyme 
immunoassays allow early diagnosis by detection of mumps-​specific 
IgM and IgA. In recent outbreaks in the United States of America and 
in the United Kingdom, IgM-​negative cases have been identified. IgA 
can be detected in saliva or mouth washings on about the fourth day 
after infection, and in the serum early in the disease. Measurement 
of antibodies in acute and convalescent sera is a reliable method for 
diagnosis, especially in patients who have no parotitis. RT-​PCR meth-
odology targeting the detection of mumps RNA in nose and throat 
swabs has been developed and is replacing and adding to serology-​
based techniques in routine laboratory diagnosis and confirmation.
Treatment
There is no specific antiviral treatment. Symptomatic treatment in-
cludes simple analgesics, but for the severe pain of orchitis, morphine 
(15–​30 mg) may be required for a day or two. Corticosteroids are 
worth trying in severe cases of parotitis, more especially in orchitis. 
An adult dose of 60 mg prednisolone daily for 2 or 3 days sometimes 
gives dramatic relief from pain, though it may not reduce the swelling.
Prevention and control
The mainstay of prevention is vaccination of susceptible individ-
uals. Isolation is not effective as the patient has been infectious 
for days before parotitis occurs and subclinical cases are frequent. 
Attenuated live vaccine gives 95% seroconversion, and protection 
lasts for at least 15 years. In developed countries, mumps vaccine 
is currently given between 14 and 16 months of age as one compo-
nent of a live attenuated trivalent mumps/​measles/​rubella (MMR) 
vaccine. A two-​dose schedule with follow-​up at 4–​5 years of age is 
now recommended. This has suppressed the incidence of mumps by 
more than 98% in the United States of America and in the United 
Kingdom. Nevertheless, both countries have had recent outbreaks of 
mumps in college age populations in both unvaccinated individuals 
as well as those with a documented vaccination history. It is not clear 
whether this is due to primary vaccine failure or waning immunity 
in the absence of frequent challenge. Identification of patients in 
several outbreaks who had received two doses of mumps vaccine 
indicates that waning immunity is the most likely explanation for 
recurrent outbreaks. Recommendation of a third dose of vaccine is 
being considered. The ability of new variant wild-​type virus strains 
to break thought the protective immunity established by older vac-
cines which are largely based on genotype A strains, appears a less 
likely cause of the current outbreaks. Mumps vaccination is contra-
indicated in pregnant women and patients with immunodeficiency 
due to immunosuppressive therapy or disease. However, HIV sero-
positive children should be vaccinated with the MMR vaccine.
FURTHER READING
Christie AB (1980). Infectious diseases: epidemiology and clinical prac-
tice, 3rd edition. Churchill Livingstone, Edinburgh.
Duprex WP, Rima BK (2011). Mumps virus. In: eLS. John Wiley & 
Sons, Ltd, Chichester. http://​www.els.net/​.
Rima BK, Duprex WP (2008). Mumps virus. In:  Mahy BWJ, van 
Regenmortel MHV (eds) Encyclopedia of virology, 3rd edition. 
Academic Press, London.
Rubin SA, Sauder CJ, Carbone KM (2013). Mumps virus. In: Knipe DM, 
Howley PM (eds) Fields virology, 6th edition, Ch. 35, pp. 1024–​41. 
Wolters Kluwer, Lippinocott Williams & Wilkins, Philadelphia, PA.
Wright KE (2006). Mumps. In: Newton VA, Vallely PJ (eds) Infection 
and hearing loss, pp. 109–​26. John Wiley and Sons Ltd, Chichester.
8.5.6   Measles
Hilton C. Whittle and Peter Aaby
ESSENTIALS
Measles is a single-​stranded RNA virus that is spread by aerosolized 
droplets and is highly transmissible. It causes a spectrum of disease 
ranging from mild in the well-​nourished to severe in the malnour-
ished or immunosuppressed: mortality is 3–​10% in Africa.
Clinical features—​10 to 14 days after infection, the viral prodrome 
typically consists of runny nose and fever, sometimes also diarrhoea 
or convulsions; signs include mild conjunctivitis, red mucosae, and (on 
the buccal mucosa) Koplik’s spots. After 14–​18 days a morbilliform rash 
first appears on the forehead and neck, then spreads to involve the 
trunk and finally the limbs. Other manifestations include severe con-
junctivitis (especially in those who are vitamin A deficient), pneumonitis 
and enteritis (which may cause profuse diarrhoea). Early complications 
include (1) pneumonia—​caused by secondary bacterial infection and 
responsible for most deaths; (2) stomatitis—​caused by herpes sim-
plex virus and/​or candidal infection; (3) enteritis—​due to candidal or 
bacterial superinfection; (4) eye infection—​corneal ulceration may be 
caused by some combination of measles itself, herpes simplex infec-
tion, vitamin A deficiency, and use of traditional eye medicines; more 
than half of childhood blindness in Africa is related to measles; (5) skin 
and other infections (e.g. pyoderma); (6) encephalitis—​occurs in 0.1–​
0.2% of cases; probably attributable to a neuroimmunologic process; 


8.5.6  Measles
773
mortality is 10–​15%, and 25% of children are left with permanent 
neurological disability. Late complications include malnutrition, giant 
cell pneumonia, and subacute sclerosing panencephalitis.
Diagnosis and treatment—​diagnosis is primarily clinical, but 
signs might be less clear-​cut in vaccinated subjects. Detection of 
measles-​specific IgM antibody or detection of measles antigen in 
saliva or urine can clinch the diagnosis if the rash is mild or atyp-
ical. Management is supportive, including administration of vitamin 
A, and with prompt treatment of secondary infections. Prophylactic 
antibiotics such as amoxyicillin to prevent pneumonia might be war-
ranted in settings with limited access to clinical services.
Prevention—​(1) Passive immunization—​human immunoglobulin 
is highly effective if given within 5  days of exposure and should 
be administered to those in whom vaccination is contraindicated. 
(2) Active immunization—​live vaccine is often given in the developed 
world as one component of a trivalent measles–​mumps–​rubella vac-
cine at 12 to 18 months of age. However, this is not appropriate for 
children in developing countries, who are infected by measles at a 
much earlier age, where substantial successes in controlling the dis-
ease has been obtained with a strategy combining (a) catch-​up—​a 
one-​time mass campaign covering everybody aged 9  months to 
14 years, regardless of previous measles or immunization; (2) keep-​
up—​achieving a high coverage with routine measles vaccination 
for each birth cohort; (3) follow-​up—​subsequent mass campaigns 
covering all children every 3–​5 years; and (4) mop-​up—​campaigns 
that target children who are difficult to reach or during outbreaks. 
This strategy has eliminated measles from Latin America.
Introduction
Measles is an acute, highly transmissible RNA viral infection 
of humans that is spread by aerosolized droplets. It causes 
much death and suffering, especially among poor children in 
developing countries. Its severity varies according to host and 
socioeconomic factors, not to antigenic variation or alteration in 
virulence of the virus. There is no reservoir of infection other 
than in humans and no evidence of a carrier state and as there 
is an effective vaccine, global eradication is possible but daunt-
ingly high vaccine coverage of more than 95% will be needed. 
The virus causes a generalized infection coupled with severe 
damage to the immune system due to destruction of T lympho-
cytes, disturbance of the Th1/​Th2 cytokine balance, and im-
paired antigenic presentation. The chief clinical features result 
from infection of the skin, mucous membranes, and respiratory 
tract. Death, which occurs in up to 15% of hospitalized chil-
dren in Africa, results from secondary infections and immuno-
suppression. Attack rates in unimmunized home contacts are 
very high (of the order of 90%) and long-​life immunity follows 
the disease but not vaccination. Supplemental immunization 
activities allowing repeated vaccination every 3 to 5  years in 
endemic countries have lowered measles deaths dramatically. 
Although the coverage for the first dose of measles vaccine has 
reached 85% (Fig. 8.5.6.1a) and measles mortality declined by 
79% between 2000 and 2014, an estimated 114 900 people still 
die annually of measles (Fig. 8.6.5.1b).
Epidemiology
Measles has been the archetypical childhood infection, known and 
feared by all parents. Nearly everybody contracted this most infec-
tious of childhood diseases. Measles was the single biggest cause of 
childhood deaths. In the prevaccination era, 6 million children might 
have died annually of measles. With advances in coverage during 
the last 25 years is still one of the most important of the vaccine-​
preventable infections. The severity and age of infection varies mark-
edly between poor and rich countries. In the West, most children 
were infected between 3 and 6 years of age, when they attended nur-
sery and primary schools. Mortality was low (<0.05%) and morbidity, 
although considerable when compared to many other common viral 
infections, was limited. Most cases occurred in the winter and spring, 
with a biannual epidemic pattern. Widespread immunization has 
dramatically reduced both the number of cases and complications 
in high-​income countries but coverage, which needs to be over 95%, 
has seldom been high enough to eliminate measles except in the 
Americas. Thus, measles still persists in most regions of the world 
showing marked annual variation (Fig. 8.5.6.1c).
In low-​income countries, measles is still severe and behaves dif-
ferently. It kills between 3 and 10% of children in the community and 
some 10–​20% of those admitted to hospital. Mortality from mea-
sles is considerably higher in Africa (3–​10%) than in Asia or South 
America (1%). West Africa has the highest case fatality rates.
There are many reasons for this increase in severity in the 
tropics: children are infected at 1–​2 years of age; severe malnutrition 
leads to prolonged, severe measles. Overcrowding is another strong 
determinant, for secondary and tertiary cases in large families are 
at great risk of death. Exposure to a large dose of the virus when in 
close contact with the index case might be the critical factor. The 
severity of measles depends on the severity of disease in the index 
case. The high mortality found in West Africa is due to this region 
having the largest polygamous and extended families, which in-
crease the risk of intense exposure. When females stay at home and 
are constrained in their social contacts, mortality is higher in girls 
than boys. There is also a high case fatality in children with chronic 
disease, including kwashiorkor, tuberculosis, and HIV infection. 
Hospital wards, refugee camps, and clinics in developing countries 
have been important centres of disease transmission.
Though measles can have permanent sequelae, recent research has 
provided limited support for the previous belief in long-​term excess 
morbidity and mortality after the first 6 weeks of measles infection. 
Long-​term consequences might also depend on intensity of ex-
posure. Index cases apparently have better long-​term survival than 
secondary cases, suggesting a beneficial effect of mild measles infec-
tion. Long-​term morbidity is most likely to be experienced by young 
children who have severe measles following intensive exposure.
Although measles immunization has dramatically decreased the 
number of cases and deaths, vaccinated cases are not infrequent as 
immunity wanes with time. These cases are characterized by a pro-
longed incubation period, a short prodrome, mild symptoms, and 
a favourable outcome. The mild measles of immunized cases leads 
to less risk of transmission or transmission of less severe disease. 
Immunization reduces the number of children being susceptible 
in the same household and hence reduces the risk of intensive ex-
posure (Table 8.5.6.1).


section 8  Infectious diseases
774
However, immunization might have negative consequences on 
herd immunity for an increasing number of unvaccinated children, 
or children who have responded poorly to the vaccine will reach 
adulthood without having been exposed to measles. Thus, vaccin-
ated people will have lower antibody levels than naturally infected 
people, which is particularly important because young immun-
ized mothers will transfer lower antibody levels to their offspring. 
In West Africa, children of immunized mothers have only half the 
antibody levels of children of naturally infected mothers and they 
become susceptible as early as 3 to 5 months of age.
5
(a)
0
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
100
0
10
MCV Coverage* (%)
No. of reported cases
Millions
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Campaigns
90
Number of cases
MCV1 Coverage*
MCV2 Coverage*
0
2000
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
Year
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
1.6
(b)
1.4
1.2
Estimated no. of deaths (millions)
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
Estimated no. of measles deaths in absence of vaccination
Estimated no. of measles deaths with vaccination
95% conﬁdence limits for no. of measles deaths with vaccination
Estimated no. of deaths averted by measles vaccination
Fig. 8.5.6.1  (a) Global annual reported cases of measles and coverage of first (MCV1) and second (MCV2) doses of measles vaccines, 
1980–​2014. (b) Estimated number of measles deaths and number of deaths averted by measles vaccination-​worldwide 2000–​2014. 
(c) Measles case distribution by month and WHO regions, 2008–​2018.
(a) Source WHO/​IVB database, 2015. (b) Reproduced from CDC (2015). Progress towards regional measles elimination. MMWR, 64,1246–​51. (c) Source data 
from WHO measles surveillance data 2018.


8.5.6  Measles
775
It has been argued that measles vaccines only saved ‘weak’ children 
who were likely to die anyway. However, many epidemiological studies, 
including randomized trials, have shown remarkable reductions in all-​
cause mortality after standard measles vaccine. In Bangladesh, measles 
vaccination was associated with a 49% reduction in all-​cause mortality 
from the age of 9 months, even though acute measles accounted for 
only 10–​12% of deaths. This unexpected benefit was not related to 
prevention of measles. In most studies, this non​specific benefit is par-
ticularly marked for girls. The World Health Organization (WHO)’s 
Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization (SAGE) re-
viewed the potential non-​specific effects of measles vaccine in 2014 and 
confirmed these observations. Recent studies have also shown that the 
combination of measles vaccine with other vaccines or vitamin A sup-
plements may negatively influence the non​specific effects on child 
survival. The first study from a high-​income country has also shown 
that in Denmark, USA, and Italy measles–​mumps–​rubella (MMR) 
vaccine is associated with a non​specific benefit by reducing hospital 
admissions for infectious diseases, particularly respiratory infections. 
There is also evidence that the second dose of MMR has beneficial ef-
fects on prolonged hospital admissions for infections.
Popular beliefs
In most cultures, measles has a specific local name and is a much-​
feared disease. Popular understanding is centred around the rash, 
which if it stays within the body will lead to severe disease. This 
belief has some basis in truth for the prodrome is prolonged in se-
vere cases, and a proportion of deaths reportedly occur before the 
appearance of the rash during very severe epidemics. Therapeutic 
practices, such as rubbing the skin with palm oil or kerosene, are 
aimed at eliciting the rash quickly.
Popular beliefs can also hamper vaccine uptake, leading to local 
outbreaks of measles. In the United Kingdom, after the publication 
of a fallacious medical article in 1998, the myth has arisen that the 
measles–​mumps–​rubella (MMR) vaccine can cause autism. Driven 
by an irresponsible press and the antivaccine lobby, measles vac-
cine coverage fell from 93% to 79% and has yet to fully recover. 
In Germany some parents believe children benefit from measles 
and thus shun vaccination. In the Bible Belt of the Netherlands, 
strong religious beliefs preclude all vaccinations. Marginalized 
40000
(c)
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
Month of onset
Measles cases (Lab+Epi+Clinical)
2014-01
2014-02
2014-03
2014-04
2014-05
2014-06
2014-07
2014-08
2014-09
2014-10
2014-11
2014-12
2015-01
2015-02
2015-03
2015-04
2015-05
2015-06
2015-07
2015-08
2015-09
2015-10
2015-11
2015-12
2016-01
2016-02
2016-03
2016-04
2016-05
2016-06
2016-07
2016-08
2016-09
2016-10
2016-11
2016-12
2017-01
2017-02
2017-03
2017-04
2017-05
2017-06
2018-01
2018-02
2018-03
2018-04
2018-05
2018-06
2017-07
2017-08
2017-09
2017-10
2017-11
2017-12
0
WPR
SEAR
EUR
EMR
AMR
AFR
Fig. 8.5.6.1  Continued
Table 8.5.6.1  Impact of measles immunization on the transmission and severity of measles
Outcome measurements
Bissau 
1980–​1982
Senegal 
1983–​1990
Bissau 1991
Case fatality ratio: vaccinated /​ unvaccinated (95% CI)
Acute mortality within 1 month
0.39 (0.13–​1.14)
0.0 (0–​0.92)
0.30 (0.13–​0.72)
Delayed mortality from 1 month to 3 years
0.44 (0.22–​0.90)
Secondary attack rate ratio according to vaccinated/​
unvaccinated index cases
0.28 (0.10–​0.79)
0.36 (0.15–​0.87)
Based on data from Aaby P, et al. (1986). Vaccinated children get milder measles infection: a community study from Guinea-​Bissau. J Infect Dis, 154, 858–​63, and Samb B, et al. (1997). 
Decline in measles case fatality ratio after the introduction of measles immunization in rural Senegal. Am J Epidemiol, 145, 51–​7.


776
section 8  Infectious diseases
communities like the Roma shun medical and other authorities, 
and many are unvaccinated. Thus it is difficult to eliminate measles 
in Europe. In northern Nigeria, a predominantly Muslim area, re-
ligious and political leaders have warned of the dangers of Western 
vaccines: coverage fell, and large outbreaks of polio and measles 
have ensued.
The virus and its antigens
Measles mainly infects humans, but like the other closely related 
morbilliviruses (such as rinderpest or canine distemper virus) it is 
able to cross species to infect other primates, but these outbreaks 
have not proved to be reservoirs of infection for humans. The virus 
contains a single strand of RNA, is highly pleomorphic, and ranges 
from 100 to 300 nm in diameter. It propagates by budding from the 
cell membrane, from which it acquires an envelope. The membrane 
of infected cells and the virion envelope contain two surface glyco-
proteins, the haemagglutinin (H)  and fusion (F)  proteins, and a 
non​glycosylated matrix (M) protein, which forms the inner layer. 
The H protein, which allows attachment of the wild type virus to 
cells, via the CDw150 and nectin-​4 receptors, is the main target for 
neutralizing antibodies. The CDw150 receptor is expressed on im-
mature lymphocytes and on effector memory T cells, and is rapidly 
induced on T and B cells after activation; the nectin-​4 or poliovirus 
receptor-​like 4 is expressed on epithelial cells. The F protein is re-
sponsible for fusion and syncytium formation of infected cells.
The internal components or nucleocapsid consist of RNA, the nu-
cleoprotein (N), which is the major protein, the phosphoprotein (P), 
and the large protein (L). The F protein is remarkably stable, the H 
protein shows minor antigenic variation, but the N protein, which 
contains a variable region in the C-​terminal, is highly divergent 
among different strains of virus. Genetic analysis of Haemagglutinin 
and Nucleoprotein genes allowed molecular surveillance of the mea-
sles virus to track the international spread of the virus. There is also 
variation in the M protein, which some claim is related to persistent 
infection. The virus and its antigens are shown in Fig. 8.5.6.2.
Pathogenesis and the immune response
The course of infection and the immune response to this invasion 
are shown in Fig. 8.5.6.3. The measles virus, which is thermolabile 
and survives best at low humidities, is spread to susceptible contacts 
in droplets during sneezing and coughing. First, it infects and multi-
plies in lymphoid cells in the mucosa of the upper respiratory tract 
or the conjunctivae. Some 4–​6 days later, the virus is found in the 
reticuloendothelial tissue of the liver and the spleen after passage 
through lymph nodes and spread via the blood. Here it multiplies, 
causing fusion of cells to form giant cells with many nuclei. Viral 
antigens, which can be found by immunofluorescent techniques in 
and on the surface of both these cells and lymphocytes, now induce 
the immune response. First, natural killer cells and cytotoxic T cells 
mount a cell-​mediated reaction that contains the virus and limits its 
spread within cells. Later, B cells are primed to produce antibody. 
Defects in the cellular immune system, as in severe malnutrition, 
cancer, or primary and secondary immunodeficiencies, allow wide-
spread multiplication of the virus to cause fatal giant cell pneumonia.
Fusion (F)
Haemagglutinin (H)
Lipid bilayer
RNA
Large protein (L)
Phosphoprotein (P)
Nucleocapsid (N)
Matrix (M)
Fig. 8.5.6.2  The virus and its antigens.
Reprinted by permission from Macmillan Publishers Ltd: Moss WJ, and Griffen DE 
(2006). Global measles elimination. Nat Rev Microbiol, 4, 900–​8, copyright © 2006.
Measles
Stage
Day
Infection
0
Invasion
6
12
Rash
16
21
Recovery
Epithelia
Lymph node
Blood
Induction
ab
c.m.i.
Allergy
Immune
response
Lymphoid
        tissue
Secondary
infections
Secondary
anergy
Persistent
immunity
Epithelia
Fig. 8.5.6.3  Pathogenesis of measles. + Denotes, amount of virus; ab, 
antibody.
Reproduced with permission from Parry EHOP (ed) (1984). Principles of medicine in 
Africa, 2nd edition. Oxford University Press, Oxford.


8.5.6  Measles
777
Around day 8, the measles virus is carried by the blood, either free 
or in mononuclear cells, to the target tissues, which are epithelia of 
the skin, eye, lung, and gut. Again, the agent multiplies to cause a 
bright erythema of the mucosae and Koplik’s spots (see next), which 
are foci of viral multiplication. At this stage, measles virus may be 
cultured from nasopharyngeal secretions, and antigen can be de-
tected by immunofluorescent techniques or PCR in the character-
istic giant cells of the buccal mucosa, in epithelial cells, and in both 
B and T lymphocytes in the blood.
The rash, appearing around days 14–​16, is the sign of a strong 
and complicated allergic reaction to the virus in epithelia. The ex-
tent and severity of the rash, which reflects the clinical severity of 
the disease, is determined by the number of target cells infected. 
Histological examination shows virus in the disrupted epidermis, 
in the corium, and in capillary endothelium. These tissues are infil-
trated by mononuclear cells together with antibody, immune com-
plexes, and complement. An intact cell-​mediated immune response 
is essential to generate the rash and clear the virus, for if impaired, 
as in the case of children with leukaemia, or occasionally in severe 
kwashiorkor, the virus multiplies unchecked and no rash appears. 
Some 2 or 3 days after the start of the rash, around day 17 or 18, the 
virus can no longer be cultured from epithelia, for infected cells 
have been disrupted and the free virus neutralized by antibody. The 
first antibody to appear is to the nucleoprotein antigens. The second 
to appear, which is largely responsible for neutralization of the 
virus, is to the haemagglutinin. Finally, the antibody to the fusion 
glycoprotein appears in a low titre. This antibody stops cell-​to-​cell 
spread of the virus. At this stage the child is markedly immunosup-
pressed and thus susceptible to secondary infections of the eyes, 
mouth, gut, and lungs. Latent viruses, such as herpes simplex or 
cytomegalovirus, may be reactivated and in turn cause further 
damage to the immune system. The delayed hypersensitivity reac-
tion, as measured by skin tests to old tuberculin or candida antigen, 
is absent or severely impaired.
By the third week, day 21, as the patient recovers, antibody is in full 
production. Levels remain elevated for the rest of the patient’s life, ei-
ther because of repeated subclinical infections or because the virus 
persists in latent form in the spleen and other organs, so stimulating 
antibody. Occasionally, the virus persists in the brain in a damaging 
form to cause subacute sclerosing panencephalitis (see next).
Immunosuppression
The mechanisms of immunosuppression are complex (Fig. 8.5.6.4). 
The CD4 + and CD8 + cytotoxic T-​cell response, which is exuberant, 
may result in the destruction of infected T cells and dendritic cells 
thus leading to their depletion, deficient antigen processing, and 
generalized immunosuppression. Cross-​binding of the CD46 cel-
lular receptor down-​regulates interleukin 12 (IL-​12), a crucial 
cytokine in the development of Th1 and delayed hypersensitivity 
responses. Infection of CDw150+ lymphocytes, in particular ac-
tivated CD45RA-​ memory lymphocytes, results in suppression 
of lymphoproliferation and cell death and loss of cell-​mediated 
immunity. Thus, measles ultimately dampens the Th1 response, 
resulting in a skewing towards a Th2 cytokine response and suscep-
tibility to intracellular and other pathogens for 4–​6 weeks. This im-
munosuppression might be in the interest of the host by limiting 
further autoallergic damage of infected tissues. However, the recent 
claim that this immunological amnesia may last for 2–​3 years is not 
supported by long-​term follow-​up studies of mortality after measles 
in both W. Africa and Bangladesh.
Pathogenesis in the underprivileged, in the 
malnourished, and in the HIV-​infected
Measles is severe, prolonged, and carries a high case fatality rate due 
to secondary infections in children of the developing world, as it was 
formerly in the underprivileged in Europe. Two explanations are 
offered. Crowding leads to a high dose of measles virus and also in-
creases the chances of secondary infection. The period of incubation 
T Cell
↑ IL-10
↑ IL-4
↓ IL-12
↓ Differentiation
Lymphocyte
apoptosis
Impaired
lymphoproliferation
Immunomodulatory
cytokines
Interleukin-12
downregulation
Impaired antigen
presentation
T Cell
T Cell
Monocyte
DC
Fig. 8.5.6.4  Potential mechanisms of immune suppression following measles virus infection.
Reprinted from Moss WJ, Ota MO, and Griffen DE (2004). Measles: immune suppression and immune responses.  
Int J Biochem Cell Biol, 36, 1380–​5, copyright © 2004, with permission from Elsevier.


778
section 8  Infectious diseases
has been found to be short, around 10–​12 days, in severe and fatal 
cases, consistent with the concept of infecting dose as a mechanism 
of severe disease. Alternatively, or in tandem, malnutrition dimin-
ishes the immune response to the virus, allowing great proliferation 
of virus and subsequent damage to the host. The immune response 
follows, which generates a severe and widespread rash followed 
by prolonged immunosuppression. Secondary bacterial infections 
with, for example, Streptococcus pneumoniae, or latent infections 
such as herpes simplex or Mycobacterium tuberculosis occur in the 
wake of this intense damage to the immune system, often killing or 
maiming the child. Virus persists in lymphocytes and epithelial cells 
for up to 30 days after the start of the rash. Anorexia, increased catab-
olism, protein loss from the gut, and further malnutrition exaggerate 
the problem, which is worst in the weanling child (Fig. 8.5.6.5).
The death rate after measles in hospitalized infants is higher in 
severely malnourished and HIV-​infected children, and prolonged 
viral shedding occurs in these children. Thus, in regions of high 
prevalence, HIV-​infected children may be unrecognized trans-
mitters of the virus but to date there is no evidence that this has 
hampered measles control. Asymptomatic HIV-​infected children 
respond suboptimally to vaccination; those with AIDS are even less 
likely to respond and may be threatened by persistent measles infec-
tion (see prevention).
Clinical features
There is a spectrum of severity ranging from mild in the privileged 
and well-​nourished to severe in the blatantly malnourished or im-
munosuppressed. However, the rule is not inviolate and other fac-
tors such as the age and dose of infection are probably as important 
in determining the severity of disease. Measles, often severe, occa-
sionally infects unvaccinated young adults or those who have lived 
in isolated communities. The clinical features of measles and some 
complications are shown in Fig. 8.5.6.6 and discussed next.
Prodrome (days 10–​14)
A diagnosis of measles is often missed at this stage, when fever 
coupled with a runny nose, and sometimes complicated by con-
vulsions, is the main feature. Other signs are mild conjunctiv-
itis, red mucosa, Koplik’s spots, and diarrhoea. Koplik’s spots 
Impaired immunity
Secondary
infection
Malnutrition
Acute measles
infection
Fig. 8.5.6.5  The complex interaction between infection, nutrition, and 
impaired immunity seen in measles.
Reproduced with permission from Greenwood BM (1996). The host’s response 
to infection. In: Weatherall DJ, Ledingham JGGL, Warrell DA (eds) (1996). Oxford 
textbook of medicine, 3rd edition, p. 282. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Measles
Incubation
Prodrome
Allergic
Secondary
infections
Late
complications
Systemic
Respiratory
Skin
Eye
Mouth
Gut
Nutritional
0
10
14
19
28
4
5
6
Days after infection
Weeks
Tuberculosis
Pneumocystis
Blindness
Gut infected
Fever
Fever
Cough
Cough
Pneumonitis
Rash
Pyoderma, ulcers
Conjunctivitis
Keratitis, perf
Kopliks
Diarrhoea
Herpes
Anorexia
Protein loss
Loss of weight
Marasmus
Kwashiorkor
Gut infected
Pneumonia
Infection
Diarrhoea-bacterial
Candida
Fig. 8.5.6.6  Clinical features of measles and some of its complications.
Reproduced with permission from Parry EHOP (ed) (1984). Principles of medicine in Africa, 2nd edition, Oxford 
University Press, Oxford.


8.5.6  Measles
779
are found in the buccal mucosa (Fig. 8.5.6.7). They are small, 
irregular, bright-​red spots with a minute bluish-​white speck in 
the centre of each of them. The prodrome is prolonged in severe 
cases, and reduced in individuals with modified measles due to 
maternal antibodies, previous immunization, or the prophylactic 
use of immunoglobulin.
Rash (days 14–​18)
The morbilliform rash first appears on the forehead and neck and 
then spreads, over a period of 3–​4 days, to involve the trunk and fi-
nally the limbs (Fig. 8.5.6.8).
In children in Africa and other parts of the developing world the 
rash is often red, confluent, raised (Fig. 8.5.6.9), very extensive, and 
sometimes accompanied by bleeding into the skin and gut. Later, 
the rash blackens (postmeasles ‘staining’, see Fig. 8.5.6.10), then the 
skin peels causing extensive desquamation (Fig. 8.5.6.11). Other 
epithelial surfaces are inflamed, the severity matching that of the 
rash. Cough may be hoarse and coupled with inspiration difficulty 
if the larynx and trachea are inflamed. Signs of pneumonitis are ap-
parent, which in severe cases can cause cyanosis or be complicated 
by mediastinal and subcutaneous emphysema. Conjunctivitis, espe-
cially in those who are vitamin A deficient, can be severe. Enteritis 
might cause profuse diarrhoea with a resulting loss of protein, and 
malabsorption of food and water. The mouth is painful and red, 
which adds to the misery of the child, who becomes anorexic and 
may even refuse to suck the breast. In the uncomplicated case, as is 
usual in the West, the convalescent period is short, usually lasting 
less than a week. Complications should be suspected if fever persists 
while the rash is fading or desquamating.
Complications
Early complications (days 18–​30)
As a result of the widespread, severe allergic reaction to the measles 
virus signified by the rash, the patient is left severely immunosup-
pressed and is susceptible to infection.
Pneumonia
This causes the most deaths (Table 8.5.6.2) and is heralded by a rise 
in fever, leucocytosis, and respiratory difficulties. Lobar pneumonia 
is usually caused by S. pneumoniae, but bronchopneumonia, which 
is more common, results from other bacteria, such as Staphylococcus 
aureus, or secondary viral infections with, for example, herpes 
simplex or adenovirus. A  variety of other organisms such as 
Gram-​negative bacteria, cytomegalovirus, fungi, M.  tuberculosis, 
and Pneumocystis jirovecii should be considered as potential lung 
pathogens in the malnourished or immunocompromised child.
Stomatitis and enteritis
Chronic diarrhoea and a sore mouth caused by candidal infection 
are common complications of measles in children in the develop­
ing world. The gut is often superinfected with Bacteroides spp., 
Escherichia coli, Pseudomonas spp., and S. aureus, which results in 
malabsorption and protein loss. Deep ulcers caused by herpes sim-
plex virus erode the corners of the mouth, gums, and inner surface 
of the lips causing much misery, illness, and pain (Fig. 8.5.6.12).
Fig. 8.5.6.7  Koplik’s spots on the buccal mucosa.
Courtesy of the late Dr B. E. Juel-​Jensen.
(a)
(b)
Fig. 8.5.6.8  (a, b) The morbilliform rash first appears on the forehead 
and neck and then spreads, over a period of 3–​4 days, to involve the 
trunk and finally the limbs.
Copyright D. A. Warrell.


780
section 8  Infectious diseases
Eye infections
Corneal ulceration leading to impaired vision or blindness is 
common after measles, especially in malnourished and vitamin 
A deficient children (Fig. 8.5.6.13). Several studies from Africa have 
shown that more than half of childhood blindness is related to mea-
sles. The mechanisms are still under discussion. In northern Nigeria, 
herpes simplex was found in 47% of active corneal ulcers after mea-
sles, and measles virus in 12%: the children often had evidence of 
oral herpes. In a study in Tanzania, blindness precipitated by mea-
sles was associated with vitamin A deficiency (50%), herpes simplex 
infection (21%), and the use of traditional eye medicine (17%).
Skin and other infections
Pyoderma is common after measles. In the malnourished patient, 
deep eroding ulcers can bore through the skin, even into bone. 
When originating in the mouth they are known as cancrum oris or 
noma (Fig. 8.5.6.14). Otitis media is also common.
Encephalitis
This is a rare, but much feared, complication found in approximately 
1 to 2 per 1000 cases. The onset is usually between 4 and 7 days after 
the start of the rash, but, rarely, it might occur within 48 h or up to 
2 weeks from the onset. In addition to seizures, there is often fever, 
irritability, headache, and a disturbance in consciousness that can 
progress to profound coma. The disorder is probably attributable to 
a neuroallergic process. Lymphocytes from the cerebrospinal fluid 
have been shown to respond to myelin basic protein, as in experi-
mental allergic encephalomyelitis. The virus cannot be isolated from 
cerebrospinal fluid, which contains lymphocytes and raised levels of 
IgG but normal levels of measles antibody. Mortality and morbidity 
Fig. 8.5.6.9  Measles rash in an African child.
Fig. 8.5.6.10  Darkening measles rash after several days (‘measles staining’).
Courtesy of the late Dr B. E. Juel-​Jensen.
Fig. 8.5.6.11  Desquamating measles rash in an African child.
Table 8.5.6.2  Complications and mortality in inpatients 
with measles, northern Nigeria, July–​December 1978
No.
Died
Percentage dead
Pneumonia
169
32
18.9
Gastroenteritis
  65
  9
13.8
Marasmic kwashiorkor
  25
  6
24.0
Laryngotracheobronchitis
  21
  4
19.0
Encephalitis
  10
  4
40.0
Reproduced with permission from Parry EHOP (ed) (1984). Principles of medicine in 
Africa, 2nd edition. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Fig. 8.5.6.12  Deep ulcers caused by herpes simplex virus.
Copyright D. A. Warrell.


8.5.6  Measles
781
are high: 10–​15% of patients die and 25% of children are left with 
permanent brain damage. Treatment is supportive; dexamethasone 
has no convincing beneficial effect.
Late complications
Malnutrition
This is the most frequent complication, for children of the developing 
world often lose a lot of weight during measles and may take many 
weeks to regain it. Those originally underweight, who have had 
severe measles, are at greatest risk, for anorexia in these children 
is prolonged, much protein is lost from the gut, and secondary in-
fections, which lead to marasmus or marasmic kwashiorkor, are 
frequent. Measles has been shown to persist in the epithelia and 
lymphocytes of the severely malnourished for 30 or more days after 
the rash.
Persistent infection
Pneumonitis
Giant cell pneumonia is found in patients with defects in cell-​
mediated immunity. Children with leukaemia or kwashiorkor are 
particularly vulnerable, as are those with symptomatic HIV in-
fection. The lung disease might develop weeks after measles, and 
in most cases the rash of measles has been absent and thus the 
diagnosis may not be suspected. The diagnosis is made by viro-
logical and/​or histological examination of lung tissue. Most of 
these children die.
Subacute sclerosing panencephalitis
Persistent measles virus infection in the brain is responsible for this 
rare, progressive disease of the brain, which is found in 1 in 10 000 
to 100 000 children after measles. The child with subacute sclerosing 
panencephalitis has usually experienced normal measles, albeit at 
a young age, 5–​10 years earlier. The first indication is a disturbance 
in intellect and personality. Behavioural disorders and deterioration 
in school work are frequently mentioned. There then follow, over 
a period of weeks and months, myoclonus-​like seizures, signs of 
extrapyramidal and pyramidal disease, and finally a state of decere-
brate rigidity followed by death. The electroencephalogram shows 
a characteristic regular series of high-​amplitude, spike-​like waves. 
Very high titres of measles complement-​fixing and haemagglutinin-​
inhibiting antibody are present both in serum and cerebrospinal 
fluid. Treatments for subacute sclerosing panencephalitis have in-
cluded the use of transfer factor, plasmapheresis, and antiviral drugs, 
but to no avail.
Multiple sclerosis, autism, and Crohn’s disease
There is no convincing evidence that measles virus or immune re-
sponses to it have a causative role in these diseases. The alleged as-
sociation between the measles–​mumps–​rubella (MMR) vaccine, 
autism, and Crohn’s disease was based on weak science and has now 
been convincingly refuted by larger and stronger epidemiological 
studies. Subsequent molecular studies have failed to confirm the ori-
ginal finding of measles virus and genomic RNA in diseased bowel. 
The false alarm raised by this report caused a substantial reduction 
in the number of children vaccinated against measles in the United 
Kingdom.
Diagnosis
This is primarily clinical, although signs might be less clear-​cut in 
vaccinated subjects. Thus, in areas of high vaccine coverage the 
detection of measles-​specific IgM antibody by enzyme-​linked im-
munoassay or, better still, the detection of measles by polymerase 
chain reaction in blood or urine can clinch the diagnosis if the rash 
is mild or atypical. Subclinical measles, which boosts immunity, 
is common in vaccinated children after exposure to measles: the 
Fig. 8.5.6.13  Corneal ulceration leading to impaired vision or 
blindness after measles, especially in malnourished and vitamin 
A deficient children.
Copyright D. A. Warrell.
Fig. 8.5.6.14  Cancrum oris, or noma, following measles.


782
section 8  Infectious diseases
diagnosis is made by detecting a fourfold or greater rise in measles 
antibody within 2–​6 weeks of exposure. It is not clear if such cases 
are infectious.
Treatment of measles and its complications
No effective antimeasles drug exists, yet some children do benefit 
from treatment in hospital. The following criteria indicate severe 
measles and a need for hospital admission: a widespread, confluent 
rash darkening to deep red or purple; signs of laryngeal obstruc-
tion; subcutaneous emphysema; marked dehydration; blood in 
the stool or more than five stools a day; convulsion or loss of con-
sciousness; severe secondary pneumonia; corneal ulceration; se-
vere ulceration of the mouth and skin. These signs should be taken 
particularly seriously when the child is underweight or frankly 
malnourished.
Hydrate the child orally or intravenously. Treat lobar pneu-
monia with benzylpenicillin, and bronchopneumonia with amoxi-
cillin. If severe, or if there is coexisting HIV infection or severe 
malnutrition, use combined antibiotics such as ampicillin and gen-
tamicin. If staphylococcal infection is suspected use flucloxacillin 
plus gentamicin. Antibiotic eye ointments relieve discomfort and 
possibly prevent secondary infections of measles conjunctivitis. 
Antibiotics (topical and systemic) and vitamin A should be given 
routinely for the treatment of eye ulcers. If herpes simplex virus 
is the cause, use aciclovir topically or, when severe, systemically. 
Candida infections of the mouth or gut often respond dramatically 
to nystatin. Feeding, by tube if necessary, needs careful planning 
and presentation, for the anorexic infected child will be in severe 
negative energy balance due to a greatly increased catabolic rate. 
Case fatality rates are 30–​50% lower in those children in hospital 
treated with vitamin A. This should be given orally at the time of 
diagnosis and on the next day in a dose of 50 000 IU for children 
less than 6 months of age, 100 000 IU for children between 6 and 
12 months of age and in a dose of 200 000 IU for older children. If 
eye signs of vitamin A deficiency are present, if the child is mal-
nourished or the measles severe the initial dose should be repeated 
2 to 3 weeks later.
The prophylactic use of antibiotics such as amoxicillin or 
co-​trimoxazole to prevent secondary infections after measles 
is a widespread practice based on slender evidence. The only 
community randomized, placebo-​controlled trial was small: 
those children who received co-​trimoxazole had less pneumonia 
and conjunctivitis and had a significantly higher weight gain 
(see Table 8.5.6.3). 
Prevention
Passive immunization with human immunoglobulin is highly ef-
fective if given within 5 days of exposure, in a dose for children of 
0.2 ml/​kg. Immunoglobulin should be given to those in whom vac-
cination is contraindicated such as severely immunocompromised 
children with cancer, AIDS, or congenital immunodeficiencies. For 
children with severe malnutrition, WHO recommends measles vac-
cination in the acute phase followed by a second dose on recovery as 
the immune response is suboptimal. This is widely practised in hos-
pitals in developing countries and in refugee camps where there are 
practical difficulties in providing immunoglobulin. Although live 
vaccines are theoretically undesirable in these immunocomprom-
ised children, no head-​to-​head trials of these two preventions have 
been conducted.
The currently used vaccines are live strains, attenuated by culture 
in chick fibroblasts. The Edmonston–​Zagreb strain, which has been 
cultured in human diploid cells, is also widely used. It is more ef-
fective than other vaccines in the presence of antibody, and should 
be used in a standard dose if vaccinating infants below 9 months of 
age, or if a booster dose is required. The complications of vaccin-
ation are few and generally mild. Fever of moderate severity is in-
frequent, and a mild rash with some signs of upper respiratory tract 
infection occurs rarely. Underweight children respond normally to 
the vaccine, as do ill children attending the outpatient department 
and those on the ward. As clinics and hospitals are major sites of 
transmission of the virus in the developing world, all susceptible 
children in these places should be vaccinated unless severely im-
munocompromised. Asymptomatic HIV-​infected children are ini-
tially protected by measles vaccine but antibody wanes more quickly 
than in uninfected children. WHO recommends early vaccination at 
6 months of age followed by additional vaccinations at 9 months and 
another later in childhood.
The measles vaccination policy for low income countries has 
seen major changes in the last 25 years. The optimal age for vaccin-
ation in the developed world is between 14 and 16 months, when 
Table 8.5.6.3  Prophylactic antibiotic to prevent complications after measles in Guinea-​Bissau
Outcome
Co-​trimoxazole (n = 46)
Placebo (n = 38)
Adjusted odds ratio (95% CI)
Pneumonia
1 (2%)
6 (16%)
0.14 (0.01–​1.50)
Hospitalization
0
3
–​
Diarrhoea
3 (7%)
5 (13%)
0.17 (0.01–​1.55)
Severe fever
6 (13%)
11 (29%)
0.36 (0.09–​1.43)
Stomatitis
4 (9%)
7 (18%)
0.43 (0.08–​2.26)
Conjunctivitis
12 (26%)
17 (45%)
0.31 (0.10–​1.03)
Weight gain (g/​day)
32
15
–​
Adapted and reproduced from Garly M-​L, et al. (2006). Prophylactic antibiotics to prevent pneumonia and other complications after 
measles: community based randomised double blind placebo controlled trial in Guinea-​Bissau. BMJ, 333, 1245–​50, copyright © 2006, 
with permission from BMJ Publishing Group Ltd.


8.5.6  Measles
783
maternal antibody has disappeared and the children will have 
the highest antibody response. However, this recommendation 
could not be applied to children in developing countries, because 
there measles infects at a much earlier age. In 1970s, the World 
Health Organization recommended vaccination at 9  months 
of age but, by then, 5 to 15% of children may have had measles 
in endemic areas. This policy was not based on good evidence; 
it is still not known if vaccination at 9 months is better for saving 
children than vaccination at 7, 8, or 10 months of age, or a two-​
dose regime in infancy. Intriguingly, all studies from developing 
countries suggest that the benefit of measles vaccine on overall 
survival is greater when given early and studies from randomized 
trials where the children were tested for prevaccination antibody 
levels have indicated that children vaccinated in the presence 
of maternal antibody have a much stronger non​specific benefit 
from the vaccine.
Through the 1990s it became clear that several doses of measles 
vaccines were needed to improve measles control. The developed 
countries have used two-​dose strategies with a second dose being 
given at school entry or to young teenagers. Latin America has 
obtained major successes with a combination of improved vaccin-
ation coverage and regular immunization campaigns providing 
a second opportunity for measles vaccination. The strategy has 
the following elements: (1) catch-​up—​a one-​time mass campaign 
covering everybody between 9 months and 14 years of age regard-
less of previous measles or immunization; (2) keep-​up—​achieving 
a high coverage for routine measles vaccination at 9 months of 
age for each birth cohort; (3) follow-​up—​subsequent mass cam-
paigns covering all children every 3–​5 years; and (4) mop-​up—​
campaigns that target children who are difficult to reach or during 
outbreaks. As a result of this strategy, Latin America was declared 
free of internal measles transmission. Since there is no immediate 
risk of measles infection, the age of routine vaccination has been 
raised to 12  months as this is associated with higher antibody 
responses.
The Latin American model has been transferred to other re-
gions. Rebranded as SIA (supplementary immunization activ-
ities), it has assured a spectacular success in reducing measles 
mortality in Africa. The goal of reducing global measles deaths 
by 90% by 2010 compared to 2000 has been met. Furthermore, 
WHO is now recommending a second dose of measles vaccine 
in the second year of life and more than half of the world’s chil-
dren are now receiving a second routine measles vaccination (see 
Fig. 8.5.6.1a) However, these campaigns, which are donor driven, 
are expensive and should not be seen as a substitute for an in-
adequate immunization service. Recently, following the credit 
crunch, international financial support for this initiative has 
decreased and many countries have not been able to raise suffi-
cient money for SIAs. The world has not met the global targets 
for 2015: a higher than 90% coverage for the first routine measles 
vaccine in every country, a measles incidence of under five cases/​
million, 95% reduction of measles deaths and elimination of mea-
sles in four WHO regions.
Unfortunately, it is donor policy only to measure the coverage 
for the first measles vaccination by 12 months of age and there-
fore some countries are no longer providing routine measles 
vaccination after 12 months of age. Although it is WHO policy 
that any unvaccinated child coming to a clinic should receive the 
measles vaccine, there is a drive to reduce wastage and not to 
open a vial of measles vaccine unless 5–​7 children are present 
for vaccination. Such policies make it difficult to achieve high 
coverage and some countries have seen a decline in the measles 
vaccination coverage.
Elimination or eradication?
Global measles eradication has yet to be made official policy but 
as polio eradication approaches there will be increasing interest in 
continuing with programmes to eradicate measles and rubella. The 
Americas have attained elimination (i.e. no internal transmission 
of the virus), and other regions are pursuing such a policy. Measles 
satisfies the criteria for eradication for there is no animal reservoir, 
it is only transmitted between humans, it is easy to diagnose, and 
vaccines are available. Measles elimination can be accomplished for 
prolonged periods in defined geographical regions provided there 
is sufficient funding and political will. This was obtained for the 
first time in the Gambia in the mid-​1960s as part of the smallpox 
eradication and measles vaccination campaigns. Rinderpest, a 
virus closely related to measles that decimated cattle and wild game 
populations over the centuries, was eradicated in 2010. Now a 
WHO panel has declared that measles can and should be eradicated 
by 2020. It stressed that eradication activities should be carried out 
as part of routine immunization services and estimated it would 
cost $US 7.8 billion.
However, eradicating measles will be a daunting task for, despite 
global coverage of 85%, the infection is still rife in many countries 
(see Fig. 8.5.6.1c) First, it is the most infectious of diseases and will 
require vaccine coverage of greater than 95%. When there is little 
risk of infection, it will be increasingly difficult for parents to ap-
preciate the necessity for vaccination especially as risk, although 
small, needs to be perceived. Secondly, herd immunity will be-
come a problem as with less exposure to the virus, vaccine-​induced 
immunity will wane more rapidly. Thirdly, some countries like 
Pakistan or Afghanistan and many countries in Africa will be stern 
tests since political instability, wars, and natural disasters make it 
difficult to maintain sufficiently high coverage. Fourthly, but most 
demanding, will be to assure long-​term funding as donors have a 
tradition of changing priorities.
The international health community is split over whether eradi-
cation can be attained with the Latin American strategy using 
existing vaccines or whether new vaccines and delivery systems 
such as aerosolization are needed. New vaccines, which can be 
given in early infancy, or two-​dose strategies using the standard 
Edmonston–​Zagreb vaccine at 4 and 9 months of age, might be 
necessary to contain measles in the developing world. The latter 
strategy has the advantage that it might confer beneficial non​
specific effects on child survival in countries with high childhood 
mortality. In Guinea-​Bissau, per protocol analysis of a trial of two 
doses of Edmonston–​Zagreb measles vaccine in infancy revealed 
a mortality rate 30% lower than in the controls who received a 
single dose of measles vaccine at 9 months of age. Coverage of at 
least 95% of all susceptible children, including those between 3 
and 9 months of age, with a vaccine that is at least 95% effective